Seminario Probabilidades CMM

Poisson representation of Brownian bridge.

Event Date: Oct 21, 2025 in Seminario de Probabilidades de Chile, Seminars

Resumen:  We consider Brownian motion $(B(t))$, for $t\in[0,1]$, and Brownian bridge $BB(t)$, the Brownian motion conditioned to return to $0$ at time~$1$. The following identity is well known,(1)\,\hfill   law of $(BB(t))_{t\in[0,1]}= $ law of $(B(t)- tB(1))_{t\in[0,1]}$. \hfill\ A centered and rescaled Poisson point process $B^\varepsilon(t)$ converges to Brownian motion, where $\varepsilon$ is the scaling parameter going to $0$. For  each $\varepsilon>0$, we construct a coupling $(B^\varepsilon(t),BB^\varepsilon (t))$ satisfying an almost sure version of (1).  Taking  $\varepsilon\to0$...

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Domination criterion for some positive operators and quasi-stationary distributions.

Event Date: Oct 08, 2025 in Seminario de Probabilidades de Chile, Seminars

Resumen:   After a short introduction to the concept of quasi-stationary distributions, I will present the typical and well known “finite state space” convergence results. In a second time, I will present domination criteria for the quasi-compactness of positive operators and show some applications of these spectral theoretical results for the study of quasi-stationary distributions. The talk will conclude with an illustration on the interplay between these results and recent ones on weighted branching processes, obtained in collaboration with Nicolas Zalduendo.

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Central limit theorems for structured branching processes

Event Date: Sep 24, 2025 in Seminario de Probabilidades de Chile, Seminars

Resumen:   In this talk I will discuss recent progress on central limit theorems for supercritical branching Markov processes in infinite-dimensional settings. The class of processes under consideration allows for spatial dependence and branching mechanisms that need not be local. A key feature of our approach is that it only requires a fourth moment condition together with exponential convergence of the mean semigroup in a weighted total variation norm. This assumption is mild in that it does not rely on symmetry or detailed spectral information. The resulting central limit theorems capture...

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Stochastic processes, transport of mass, and functional inequalities.

Event Date: Aug 27, 2025 in Seminario de Probabilidades de Chile, Seminars

Resumen:   Functional inequalities have proven to be a ubiquitous tool in mathematics, especially in probability theory. For example, they are closely related to the concentration of measure phenomenon, and they help quantify the rate at which ergodic Markov processes converge to equilibrium. Prominent examples of those inequalities include the families of logarithmic Sobolev, Poincaré, and transport-entropy inequalities. In the first part of the talk, I will provide an introduction to this topic, highlighting the classical examples, results, and applications. In the second part of the talk,...

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Dynamics on the thick points of the GFF & Monotonicity in Quadratically Regularized Optimal Transport.

Event Date: Aug 20, 2025 in Seminario de Probabilidades de Chile, Seminars

VER RESUMEN ADJUNTO

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Stochastic models with age structure under harvesting: existence, approximation and estimation.

Event Date: Aug 13, 2025 in Seminario de Probabilidades de Chile, Seminars

Resumen:   In this talk, we will present the development and analysis of a mathematical model for the kelp population, which integrates ecological and sociological aspects, in particular the response of harvesters to environmental regulations through parametrised decision rules. We will begin with a heuristic derivation of the model, incorporating the uncertainty inherent in open systems. We will then address the theoretical analysis, establishing conditions for the existence and uniqueness of admissible solutions in our context, the characterisation of asymptotic extinction scenarios and...

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