Reproduction matrix for an epidemic and lockdowns in a city.

Abstract:

We consider an epidemic spreading in a city which is divided geographically into different districts. We introduce the reproduction matrix R = R(i, j)  between districts, where R(i, j) is the mean number of individuals in district j infected by an individual from district i. We analyse policies of partial lockdowns of the city, that is of a set of districts, based on the study of matrix R, where rows and columns corresponding to districts in lockdown are set to zero. This schema can also be applied to a country divided into regions or other appropriate units, provided the relevant information is available. We conclude by analyzing a matrix R which was constructed for the spread of COVID-19 in Santiago, Chile, with the aid of an agent-based simulator for generating surrogate district data

Paper está disponible en el link:  http://arxiv.org/abs/2005.09556

Posted on Jun 8, 2020 in Seminarios Lectura Papers COVID19, Seminars